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【EUR/USD】1-Hour Chart Analysis - April 16, 2025

【EUR/USD】1-Hour Chart Analysis - April 16, 2025

【EUR/USD】1-Hour Chart Analysis | April 16, 2025: Watching for a Breakout After Short-Term Rebound

Overview

EUR/USD has rebounded from a recent decline and is approaching the resistance level at 1.1364. Strong buying pressure is emerging in the short term, with the price pushing above the 50-period moving average. This analysis examines the current market setup and outlook using key indicators such as ADX, MACD, and moving averages.

Chart Source: cTrader


【ADX】

The ADX has surged significantly and is now approaching 60. This indicates strengthening trend momentum and suggests a higher probability of a near-term breakout.


【MACD】

The MACD line has crossed above the signal line, confirming a bullish crossover. The histogram is expanding into positive territory, signaling a clear momentum shift and supporting further upside potential.


【Moving Average (200MA)】

While the 200MA is not displayed on the chart, the price has clearly broken above the 50MA (blue), indicating a short-term trend reversal.


【Candlestick Structure】

Following a strong rally during the morning session of the 16th, the price temporarily broke above the 1.1364 resistance. A series of bullish candles and a break above recent swing highs indicate a structure that invites renewed buying interest.


【Support & Resistance】

  • Resistance: 1.1365, 1.1400

  • Support: 1.1320 (50MA), 1.1280


【Trade Strategy】

Bearish Scenario (Breakout Setup)

  • Entry: Below 1.1320

  • Take Profit: 1.1280

  • Stop Loss: Above 1.1370

Bullish Scenario (Rebound Setup)

  • Entry: Pullback buy at 1.1330–1.1340

  • Take Profit: 1.1380–1.1400

  • Stop Loss: Below 1.1320


Conclusion

EUR/USD has shown a strong rebound following a prior decline, with technical indicators pointing to a possible trend shift. Both ADX and MACD support the case for further upside. Traders should monitor for a sustained break above 1.1365 and consider buying on dips.


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Disclaimer

This content is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute

【EUR/USD】1-Hour Chart Analysis - April 16, 2025

This article is intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. The analyses and strategies mentioned are based on past data and current market conditions, and may be subject to change in the future. When making investment decisions, always conduct your own research and consult a professional if necessary.

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DANIEL JOHN GRADY
Author

Daniel John Grady is a financial analyst and writer. He is a former CFO with a degree in Financial Management and has been published in both English and Spanish. With over ten years of equities trading experience, he is primarily interested in foreign exchange and emerging markets with a focus on Latin America.

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