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XAUUSD Analysis Oct 1, 2025: Gold at $3,863 Near $3,900

XAUUSD Analysis Oct 1, 2025: Gold at $3,863 Near $3,900

Introduction

XAUUSD Technical Analysis on October 1, 2025 shows gold extending its rally toward $3,863. This gold analysis explores whether momentum can sustain gains or face resistance-driven pullback. We review the market using technical analysis with RSI, Moving Averages, and MACD.

XAUUSD Market Structure and Technical Analysis

Gold has decisively broken above previous consolidation, trading near $3,863. This marks a strong breakout after weeks of sideways action. According to XAUUSD Technical Analysis, $3,720 now acts as firm support while resistance sits at $3,900. The psychological barrier at $3,900 will be closely watched, as a break higher could attract new buyers and trigger continuation of the trend.

RSI, MA, and MACD in Gold Outlook

The RSI is above 70, indicating overbought momentum. While this reflects strong demand, it also increases the risk of near-term correction. The Moving Averages remain bullishly aligned, with short-term averages supporting the uptrend and confirming sustained pressure from buyers. The MACD shows positive momentum, with the MACD line above the signal line and histogram expanding upward. This supports the continuation scenario in the current gold forecast.

Primary Scenario: Bullish Continuation

If momentum continues, XAUUSD could target $3,900–$3,950. A bullish entry is possible around $3,840 with stop-loss at $3,720. The trend structure, supported by MA and MACD, favors continuation despite RSI’s overbought signal.

Alternative Scenario: Pullback Toward Support

If profit-taking dominates, gold may retrace to $3,720 support. A daily close below this level weakens the bullish view, with potential downside toward $3,650, while protecting stops above $3,800. This scenario would align with RSI cooling off and MACD showing early convergence.

Conclusion: XAUUSD Technical Analysis and Gold Price Outlook

Gold is trading near record highs at $3,863. XAUUSD Technical Analysis highlights support at $3,720 and resistance at $3,900 as decisive levels. A breakout above $3,900 may accelerate the rally, while a rejection could trigger corrective moves. For traders, this gold price outlook emphasizes flexibility: maintain bullish bias but prepare for short-term volatility. With momentum indicators still supportive, gold remains in focus as one of the strongest trending assets of Q4 2025. Stay tuned for the latest updates right here on FIXIO Blog. ※Disclaimer: This content is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please be sure to conduct your own research.

XAUUSD analysis Oct 1, 2025: Gold hits $3,863 with RSI overbought, MA bullish, and MACD strong. Support $3,720, resistance $3,900.

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David Wilson
Author

David Wilson has extensive experience in currency and commodities trading. He began his career in metal sales and trading at Societe Generale in London. He went on to work as a senior analyst within the FX industry where he developed and refined his own trading and risk management strategies. Having a solid understanding of market dynamics, he founded his own research and asset management services and works with FIXIO to provide timely market commentary on the global financial markets.

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