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XAUUSD Technical Analysis October 2, 2025: Gold Near $3,900

XAUUSD Technical Analysis October 2, 2025: Gold Near $3,900

Introduction

XAUUSD Technical Analysis on October 2, 2025 shows gold extending its rally, reaching $3,867 and testing the critical $3,900 level. The key question now is whether bullish momentum will sustain or if overbought conditions could trigger a pullback. This analysis is based on technical analysis using RSI, Moving Averages, and MACD.

XAUUSD Technical Analysis October 2, 2025: Gold at $3,867 near $3,900 resistance

Source: cTrader platform

XAUUSD Technical Analysis: Market Structure

Gold has been in a strong uptrend since mid-September, breaking through resistance levels with consistent bullish candles. The current market structure shows price consolidating near $3,867, only steps away from the psychological barrier of $3,900. Previous resistance turned support stands around $3,720, reinforcing the bullish case unless momentum fades.

XAUUSD Technical Outlook: RSI, MA, and MACD Signals

The RSI is hovering near the overbought zone above 70, signaling strong bullish momentum but also warning of potential exhaustion if price fails to clear $3,900. The Moving Averages are aligned in favor of bulls, with shorter-term averages trending well above the long-term baseline, confirming trend strength. The MACD continues to print positive histogram bars, and its signal line is widening to the upside, reinforcing bullish continuation.

Primary Scenario: Bullish Breakout Above $3,900

If momentum persists, gold could break above $3,900 with further upside potential. A clean daily close above this resistance would validate continuation. Traders may consider: Entry: $3,880–$3,900 Stop-Loss: $3,840 Target: $3,950–$4,000

Alternative Scenario: Pullback Toward $3,720

If gold fails to hold above $3,900, overbought RSI conditions may trigger a correction. In this case, downside momentum could drag price back toward $3,800 or even $3,720 support. The MACD histogram flattening or signal line convergence would strengthen this scenario.

Conclusion

XAUUSD Technical Analysis highlights a powerful uptrend, but the $3,900 resistance remains decisive. With RSI near overbought, Moving Averages trending bullish, and MACD showing positive momentum, the market favors the bulls. However, rejection at resistance could see a healthy pullback toward $3,720 before resuming higher. Stay tuned for the latest updates right here on FIXIO Blog. ※Disclaimer: This content is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please be sure to conduct your own research.

XAUUSD Technical Analysis October 2, 2025: Gold rallies to $3,867 near $3,900 with RSI overbought, MACD bullish, and MA support at $3,720.

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David Wilson
Author

David Wilson has extensive experience in currency and commodities trading. He began his career in metal sales and trading at Societe Generale in London. He went on to work as a senior analyst within the FX industry where he developed and refined his own trading and risk management strategies. Having a solid understanding of market dynamics, he founded his own research and asset management services and works with FIXIO to provide timely market commentary on the global financial markets.

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