Is gold ready for a breakout? This XAUUSD technical analysis explores gold price action on the 1-hour chart for June 18, 2025, using the key indicators MA, RSI, and MACD. Discover the strategy behind today’s gold moves.
Source: cTrader platform
The 50-period and 200-period Moving Averages (MA50, MA200) reveal XAUUSD's trend structure. MA50 highlights short-term gold momentum, while MA200 tracks the main direction.
The RSI measures if gold is overbought (above 70) or oversold (below 30), helping traders spot reversal risks.
MACD detects shifts in trend strength and momentum, with crossovers and the zero line as key signals for bullish or bearish bias.
Entry Conditions:
• Long entry: Wait for gold price to break above both MA50 and MA200, with a bullish MACD crossover (MACD line crossing above the signal line from below zero) and RSI turning above 50.
• Short entry: Consider entry if price breaks below MA200, MACD shows a bearish crossover (MACD line below signal line and dropping), and RSI is under 50.
Take Profit Targets:
• For long trades, look for previous swing highs (e.g., 3400 or 3415) as profit targets.
• For short trades, target recent lows (e.g., 3360 or lower, depending on volatility and momentum).
Stop-Loss / Risk Management Conditions:
• Always set a stop-loss just beyond the opposite MA. For longs, a stop below the MA200 or the latest swing low; for shorts, above the MA50 or swing high.
• Risk per trade should be capped at 1–2% of account balance, and avoid trading when signals are mixed or indecisive (MACD and RSI disagree).
Currently, gold trades below both MA50 and MA200, indicating a bearish structure. The MACD is below zero with weak momentum, and RSI sits in the neutral zone around 40–50, showing a lack of clear direction.
This means traders should remain cautious and wait for a confirmed breakout above (bullish) or below (bearish) these moving averages, only entering when both MACD and RSI confirm momentum in the same direction.
The XAUUSD technical analysis for June 18, 2025, highlights a market in consolidation. Watch for a break and close above MA50/MA200 for bullish momentum, or below MA200 for renewed bearishness. Use RSI and MACD to confirm, and manage risk with disciplined stop-loss placement.
What’s your view on gold’s next move? Share your opinion in the comments below.
For more analysis and insights, check out the FIXIO Blog.
※Disclaimer: This content is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please be sure to conduct your own research.
XAUUSD technical analysis June 18, 2025. Learn how gold price reacts to MA, RSI, and MACD signals on the H1 chart, plus clear trade rules.
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