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China Tariffs Trigger Recession Panic on Wall Street

China Tariffs Trigger Recession Panic on Wall Street

China tariffs trigger market turmoil

China tariffs have ignited panic on Wall Street, causing US markets to plunge as investors fear a looming recession. The decision by China to impose a substantial 34% tariff on all US imports, effective April 10, sharply intensified trade tensions. Traders now worry that these new tariffs could lead to economic disruptions similar to the 2020 market collapse during Covid.

Escalation in China tariffs deepens recession fears

The recent escalation in China tariffs was a direct response to the Trump administration’s announcement of equivalent tariffs on Chinese goods, pushing total tariffs on Chinese imports to 64%. Unlike previous trade conflicts, these tariffs are significantly higher and also impact regional partners like Vietnam, which now faces a 46% tariff from the US. Investors worry this expansion in tariffs will severely disrupt global supply chains.

Negotiations uncertain amid tariff escalation

Negotiation prospects remain uncertain as China tariffs create volatility. Over 50 countries have already sought tariff negotiations with the Trump administration, aiming for relief. However, market concerns remain high as traders fear negotiations might not progress quickly enough. Persistent tariff-related uncertainty may cause further market distress and potentially lead the global economy into recession.

Fed cautious despite China tariff impact

Despite expectations that the Fed might intervene to mitigate economic damage from China tariffs, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has expressed caution. Powell stressed that temporary tariff-driven inflation should not trigger immediate monetary policy action. Yet, markets anticipate significant rate cuts, pricing in 150 basis points of reductions by mid-2026, signaling trader concerns about recession risks driven by sustained tariff hikes.

Technical market analysis

Technical analysis shows significant implications from China tariffs, as the US Tech 100 has sharply dropped below key support at 18,800. This decline is viewed as a deeper correction (Wave III), suggesting prices may continue falling before stabilizing. Traders should monitor indicators like bullish divergence or reversal candles as signs of potential stabilization amid tariff-driven volatility.

The US 500 index also faces heavy selling pressure, with recent declines to around 4,832. Similar to the US Tech 100, technical signals indicate a likely bounce toward 5,300 once markets fully digest recent developments.

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China Tariffs Trigger Recession Panic on Wall Street

Discover why China tariffs triggered recession fears on Wall Street and how investors anticipate Fed actions amid heightened uncertainty.

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David Wilson
Author

David Wilson has extensive experience in currency and commodities trading. He began his career in metal sales and trading at Societe Generale in London. He went on to work as a senior analyst within the FX industry where he developed and refined his own trading and risk management strategies. Having a solid understanding of market dynamics, he founded his own research and asset management services and works with FIXIO to provide timely market commentary on the global financial markets.

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