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[BTC/USD Technical Analysis] Battle Near $110,000 on 1-Hour Chart | Momentum Recovery is Key

[BTC/USD Technical Analysis] Battle Near $110,000 on 1-Hour Chart | Momentum Recovery is Key

Current Market Environment and Key Context

As of June 11, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) has recovered to the $109,800 range against the U.S. Dollar (USD), reaching a critical point just below the psychological threshold of $110,000. The recent upward move is supported by multiple technical analysis indicators, suggesting potential for a breakout.

This article provides a comprehensive view of upcoming market scenarios and trading strategies using major indicators such as moving averages (MA), MACD, ADX, and trading volume.

Source: cTrader Platform (BTC/USD 1-Hour Chart)

MA Analysis: Strength in Trend Continuation

The price is currently above both the short-term MA (50-period, blue) and long-term MA (200-period, red), providing clear evidence of an uptrend. In particular, the MA50 is crossing above the MA200, hinting at a golden cross. This reflects increasing buying pressure and supports a medium-term bullish bias.

MACD: Signs of Recovery From Weakness

The MACD line (yellow) is currently approaching the signal line (red), and a crossover could signal a new buying opportunity. The histogram is also flattening from negative territory, indicating a halt in the weakening momentum.

ADX: Indicator Confirming Trend Strength

The ADX (green line) is ranging between 60–70, suggesting a strong market trend. When the ADX is above 50, the market is considered to have a strong directional bias, increasing the effectiveness of trend-following trades.

Volume Behavior and Breakout Reliability

A slight increase in volume was observed as the price broke through the $109,000 level. This breakout with volume confirms heightened market interest. The stronger the breakout, the more likely investor sentiment will shift positively toward the continuation of the uptrend.

Key Support and Resistance Levels

Level Price Description
Short-Term Resistance $110,000 Psychological level and previous reversal point
Support ① $108,500 Overlaps with 50MA, potential pullback zone
Support ② $107,000 At 200MA, historical high-volume area
Support ③ $106,000 Medium-term buying support zone

Trading Strategy: Momentum-Based Trend-Following Scenarios

  • Bullish Scenario: A clear breakout above $110,000 could lead to a new rally targeting $111,500–$113,000.
  • Buy-the-Dip Scenario: If the price finds support in the $108,500–$107,000 range, consider a long entry.
  • Risk Management: If ADX drops sharply or MACD forms a bearish crossover, reassess the position.

Conclusion: Anticipating BTC's Next Move

The technical indicators overall suggest a continuation of the uptrend, with particular attention on the high ADX reading. The market is currently at a psychological tipping point around $110,000.

Short-term traders should watch volume and MACD crossovers, while swing traders should focus on the MA and ADX. The recovery of momentum and confirmation of a breakout will be key to shaping strategies for BTC/USD.

When making investment decisions, it's important to consider risk management practices.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. All trading decisions should be made at your own discretion and risk.

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BTC/USD is trading just below the $110,000 level, with major technical indicators signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend. This analysis focuses on the breakout potential based on MACD and ADX signals.

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DANIEL JOHN GRADY
Author

Daniel John Grady is a financial analyst and writer. He is a former CFO with a degree in Financial Management and has been published in both English and Spanish. With over ten years of equities trading experience, he is primarily interested in foreign exchange and emerging markets with a focus on Latin America.

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