After a period of decline, is XAUUSD (gold) showing signs of a rebound, or is it headed for another leg down? This article offers a detailed technical analysis outlook for June 19, 2025, on the 1-hour chart. We summarize both the main and alternative scenarios—bullish and bearish—for clarity.
Source: cTrader platform
On the 1-hour chart, XAUUSD continues to form lower highs and lower lows, confirming a clear downtrend. After breaking below the $3370 range, gold saw a temporary rebound and now trades near $3380.27. The price remains below both the 50-period (yellow) and 200-period (red) moving averages, keeping upward momentum capped. Volume spikes during selloffs indicate persistent short-term selling pressure.
The 50-period MA is below the 200-period MA, forming a bearish alignment. Price also stays under both MAs, favoring sellers. The MACD histogram remains negative, with the lines converging but no clear bullish crossover yet. The ADX hovers around 20, indicating weak trend strength and a possible range-bound market. Volume surges on drops, but buying volume remains thin on rebounds.
Focus Keyphrase: XAUUSD technical analysis June 19, 2025
The main scenario today is “bearish continuation as long as $3385 is not convincingly broken.” Price is still below both MAs and the MACD hasn't confirmed a reversal, so downward bias remains. Selling is likely near $3380–$3385, with initial targets at $3365 and then $3350.
Bearish scenario example:
Continue to focus on selling unless price breaks above the moving averages.
If price clearly breaks above $3385–$3390 and closes above the MAs, a short-term rebound scenario comes into play. If accompanied by a MACD bullish crossover and rising volume, targets become $3400 and $3410, but this remains a secondary scenario for now.
Bullish scenario example:
However, this rebound scenario is low-probability for now; wait for clear reversal signs before shifting bias.
In summary, XAUUSD remains in a downtrend, with $3385–$3390 acting as a major resistance. The main scenario is continued bearishness below $3385. If price convincingly breaks higher, remain alert for a short-term rebound. Keep an eye on key technical analysis indicators and price levels, and manage risk prudently. What’s your outlook for gold?
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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please make investment decisions at your own risk.
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