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Thailand–Cambodia Border Conflict 2025: Full Analysis of History, ICJ Rulings, Landmines & Diplomatic Tensions

Thailand–Cambodia Border Conflict 2025: Full Analysis of History, ICJ Rulings, Landmines & Diplomatic Tensions

Thailand–Cambodia Border Clash: A Comprehensive Analysis of History, Information Warfare, Landmines, and International Dynamics

Key Points

  • Tensions escalated in May 2025, leading to intensified clashes in July and a ceasefire agreement on the 28th.
  • The century‑long territorial dispute remains unresolved, particularly regarding the ICJ rulings on the Preah Vihear Temple.
  • Even after the ceasefire, sporadic landmine incidents and information warfare continue to threaten renewed conflict.
  • The return of Cambodian workers has caused severe labor shortages in Thailand, increasing reliance on foreign labor.
  • Though China and ASEAN have pushed for international mediation, achieving stable peace remains a significant challenge.

1. Historical Background and Roots of the Conflict

The dispute’s roots lie in the vague border demarcation under the Franco‑Siamese Treaty of 1907. Moreover, the International Court of Justice (ICJ) rulings in 1962 and later reaffirmed in 2013 over the Preah Vihear Temple reignited tensions over sovereignty between the two nations.

2. 2025 Clashes and Path to Ceasefire

A series of violent confrontations occurred from late May to late July, involving gunfire and airstrikes that left dozens dead and hundreds of thousands displaced. On July 28, a ceasefire was brokered in Malaysia. (Source: The Guardian)

3. Landmine Incidents and Fragility of the Truce

Post‑ceasefire, landmine-related injuries persisted. In August 2025, a Thai soldier was injured near the border—Thailand accused Cambodia of planting mines in violation of international law, while Cambodia denied it, claiming these were remnants of older conflicts. (Source: Reuters)

4. Information Warfare and Diplomatic Responses

Both governments have leveraged social media and state media to conduct aggressive information campaigns. Analysts believe Cambodia has gained ground in narrative control, while Thailand’s response has been criticized for disorganization. Meanwhile, China has called for dialogue and ASEAN/UN have been urged to hold emergency talks. (Source: Reuters)

5. Economic and Social Impact

The repatriation of Cambodian workers has severely strained Thailand’s labor market. The government has begun recruiting foreign laborers from countries such as Sri Lanka to fill the gaps. (Source: Reuters)

6. Geopolitical Implications

Beyond bilateral politics, the conflict affects regional geopolitics. China’s increasing influence, ASEAN cohesion, and broader regional security are at stake. Moreover, nationalism and national identity continue to shape political narratives within both countries.

Conclusion: Challenges and the Road Ahead for Peace

The convergence of historical disputes, continuing landmine dangers, information warfare, and economic consequences make lasting peace elusive. Moving forward, preserving the ceasefire, ensuring transparent information, enhancing international cooperation, and exploring legal mediations—including ICJ involvement—are essential.

For further in-depth analysis and future developments, please visit the FIXIO Blog.

This article provides a neutral and fact-based report on the 2025 Thailand-Cambodia border conflict. The content is based on reliable sources and public data, without endorsing any particular stance.

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DANIEL JOHN GRADY
Author

Daniel John Grady is a financial analyst and writer. He is a former CFO with a degree in Financial Management and has been published in both English and Spanish. With over ten years of equities trading experience, he is primarily interested in foreign exchange and emerging markets with a focus on Latin America.

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