As of August 27, 2025, BTC/USD (Bitcoin/US Dollar) continues to attract attention in the cryptocurrency market. On the recent 1-hour chart, the price has shown signs of stabilization around the $110,000 level, followed by a potential rebound.
It is crucial to analyze whether the previous downtrend is reaching a turning point by combining multiple technical indicators. In this article, we will evaluate market direction and potential scenarios using technical analysis based on moving averages (MA), MACD, ADX, volume, and support/resistance levels.
In the current chart, the short-term moving average (estimated 50EMA) is rising toward the long-term moving average (estimated 200SMA). Notably, the price candles are trading above both MAs, indicating a potential formation of a "golden cross"—a bullish technical pattern that may signal a trend reversal from bearish to bullish. For further reading, refer to the moving average theory.
Looking at the MACD indicator at the bottom, the MACD line (yellow) continues to stay above the signal line (red), with the histogram remaining firmly in the positive territory. This is a classic bullish signal indicating upward momentum. Notably, the histogram is expanding, suggesting that buying pressure is increasing. MACD is a reliable momentum indicator and is closely tied to traders’ psychological behavior (also see the momentum indicator).
The ADX (green line) is currently slightly above 50, indicating a very strong trend. Typically, a value above 25 suggests a clear trend is present, and this high level suggests strong dominance by either buyers or sellers. Such elevated ADX levels indicate a market environment suitable for trend-following strategies.
Volume has also increased alongside the initial rebound, reinforcing the validity of the price move. If this increasing volume trend continues, the support level around $111,000 may become more robust, serving as a solid foundation for further upward movement.
| Level | Price | Significance & Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Short-Term Resistance | $112,800 | Recent high with multiple upper wick rejections |
| Next Target | $113,500 | Psychological round number and previous swing high |
| Short-Term Support | $111,000 | Current price range with clustered candle bodies |
| Mid-Term Support | $110,000 | Confluent with the 200MA and several lower wick bounces |
Overall, the BTC/USD 1-hour chart appears to be in the early stages of a rebound, with technical indicators pointing toward a possible continuation of the upward move. The recovery of momentum via MACD, the strong trend indicated by ADX, supporting volume, and improving moving averages collectively back a bullish scenario. Should the price clearly break above $112,800, a move toward the next target at $113,500 is likely. On the other hand, if a pullback occurs, $111,000 and $110,000 are key levels to watch for potential support.
In this setup, rather than chasing the move, it may be more strategic to wait for a pullback before entering. Maintaining the $111,000 zone is key in the short term, while avoiding a MACD bearish crossover and defending the 200SMA are crucial in the medium term. Traders should also stay alert to temporary corrections if momentum indicators become overheated. A comprehensive approach combining technical analysis with news and macroeconomic factors is recommended for informed decision-making.
Disclaimer: This content is intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please make investment decisions at your own discretion.
This article is intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. The analyses and strategies mentioned are based on past data and current market conditions, and may be subject to change in the future. When making investment decisions, always conduct your own research and consult a professional if necessary.
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