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Upcoming events: US CPI report, UK wage growth, ECB, and China in focus.

Upcoming events: US CPI report, UK wage growth, ECB, and China in focus.

The US CPI Report in August is closely watched as it could affect the possibility of Fed rate hikes, given the primary focus on inflation.

Highlights
  • The US CPI Report, to be released on Wednesday, could lead to additional Fed rate hikes if inflationary pressures persist.
  • The main focus on Thursday will be the ECB's decision on monetary policy, with the ECB Press Conference driving market sentiment.
  • On Friday, all eyes will be on the Chinese economy, which needs to show improvement in order to support higher-risk assets.

For the Dollar

  1. The US CPI Report for August on Wednesday will attract attention. Strong inflation could lead to more Fed rate hikes.
  2. US retail sales and initial jobless claims on Thursday are important, as wages and consumption play a significant role in countering the effects of rate hikes.
  3. Michigan Consumer Sentiment numbers on Friday will be crucial for the dollar.

For the EUR

  1. ECB monetary policy and economic uncertainties create challenges.
  2. German and Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment figures on Tuesday indicate a decline in sentiment.
  3. Eurozone industrial production on Wednesday will likely confirm manufacturing sector struggles.
  4. Eurozone wage growth for the second quarter on Friday influences ECB monetary policy.
  5. The ECB monetary policy decision and press conference on Thursday are key.

For the Pound

  1. Wage growth and employment figures on Tuesday are significant. Expectations for further BoE rate hikes have been dampened.
  2. Wednesday's monthly GDP Report will have an impact, potentially affecting bets on a recession induced by the BoE.

For the Loonie

  1. Monthly oil reports and market risk sentiment affect the Canadian Dollar.
  2. Economic indicators from China can further influence USD/CAD strength.

For the Aussie Dollar

  1. NAB Business Confidence figures on Tuesday are important, along with employment figures on Thursday.
  2. Weaker business conditions may lead to reduced headcounts and impact consumption.

For the Kiwi Dollar

  1. Electronic card retail sales on Tuesday and Business NZ PMI numbers on Friday are of interest.
  2. Economic indicators from China could have a stronger impact.

For the Japanese Yen

  1. Weak household spending maintains the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy position.
  2. BSI manufacturing survey-based numbers on Wednesday and industrial production on Thursday are in focus.
  3. Potential warnings of a Yen intervention could limit downside movement.

Out of China

  1. Economic conditions in China are closely monitored for improvement.
  2. Industrial production, retail sales, fixed asset investment, and unemployment numbers are key indicators.
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