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Michigan Consumer Confidence Declines Due to Consumer Attention Shifting to Weakness in Stock Markets.

Michigan Consumer Confidence Declines Due to Consumer Attention Shifting to Weakness in Stock Markets.

The decline in Consumer Sentiment was influenced by affluent consumers and individuals holding significant stock investments.

Key Insights

  • The Consumer Sentiment Index fell from 67.9 to 63.8.
  • The assessment of Current Economic Conditions dropped from 71.1 to 70.6.
  • The Consumer Expectations Index retreated from 65.8 to 59.3.

On October 27, the University of Michigan issued the final version of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment report. The report revealed a decline in Consumer Sentiment from 67.9 in September to 63.8 in October, differing from the analyst consensus of 63.

During the same period, the assessment of Current Economic Conditions reduced from 71.1 to 70.6, and the Index of Consumer Expectations fell from 65.8 to 59.3.

The University of Michigan stated that the decline was mainly influenced by affluent consumers and those with significant stock holdings, aligning with the recent downturn in the stock markets. Furthermore, year-ahead inflation expectations increased from 3.2% in the previous month to 4.2% in the current month, marking the highest reading since May 2023.

Following the release of the Michigan Consumer Confidence report, the U.S. Dollar Index approached session lows near 106.30. Treasury yields showed minimal change on the day, with some traders opting to secure profits near multi-month highs.

Gold price remained stagnant around the $1985 level, with the Consumer Sentiment data failing to impact its dynamics, as traders concentrated on developments in the Middle East.

The SP500 index rallied towards the 4150 level in response to the report's favorable outcome. The index is striving for recovery post a significant sell-off, and there is uncertainty regarding its ability to sustain momentum.

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