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Looking Ahead: Focus on the Bank of Japan, the ECB, and US Inflation

Looking Ahead: Focus on the Bank of Japan, the ECB, and US Inflation

The private sector PMIs for January could establish the tone for the upcoming week as signs of a recession flash warning signals in Europe. It's also important to monitor discussions about stimulus from Beijing.

Highlights

  • The upcoming US Services PMI numbers, inflation, and personal income/spending will influence expectations regarding a potential Fed rate cut in March.
  • The ECB's monetary policy decision and press conference will be crucial for the future of the EUR.
  • It's important to take into account the discussions regarding stimulus from Beijing and the Bank of Japan's upcoming monetary policy decision.  

USD Market Outlook

The preliminary private sector PMIs for January are anticipated to influence market sentiment towards a potential March Fed rate cut. Attention will be on the S&P Global Services PMI and its potential impact on the US dollar.

EUR Market Analysis

Preliminary private sector PMIs for France, Germany, and the Eurozone are poised to impact the EUR/USD on Wednesday. Additionally, market focus will be on the ECB's monetary policy decision and press conference, where ECB commentary and outlook towards the economy, inflation, and interest rates will be crucial.

GBP Market Update

Wednesday's preliminary private sector PMIs will highlight the Pound's near-term trajectory, particularly the impact of an increase in UK services sector activity on discussions about rate cuts. Moreover, attention will be on Bank of England speeches and their potential influence on market sentiment.

CAD Market Summary

The Bank of Canada's interest rate decision will play a significant role in determining near-term trends for the CAD. Additionally, attention will be on inflation forward guidance and its potential impact on the USD/CAD exchange rate.

AUD Outlook

Market attention will be on Australian business confidence numbers, with a focus on their impact on buyer demand for the Australian dollar. Moreover, investors will monitor stimulus discussions from Beijing, given their potential influence on the Aussie dollar.

NZD Market Review

Q4 inflation numbers will affect investor sentiment towards the Kiwi dollar, with consideration of stimulus chatter from Beijing and geopolitical risks. Additionally, the PBoC's influence on the AUD and NZD, along with stimulus comments from Beijing, will be crucial.

JPY Market Insight

The Bank of Japan's interest rate decision and core CPI numbers will be pivotal for the Japanese Yen's market sentiment. Attention will also be on inflation and wage growth, as well as the macroeconomic environment and views on inflation.

PBoC and China's Impact

The PBoC's Loan Prime Rates and potential stimulus comments from Beijing will drive market sentiment towards riskier assets and commodity currencies, including the AUD and NZD.

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